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England’s R number falls slightly to between 1.1 and 1.4

Written by on 30/07/2021

England’s R number has fallen slightly to between 1.1 and 1.4.

Last week it was listed as between 1.2 and 1.4.

The R number is highest in the East of England, where it is between 1.3 and 1.5. It is lowest in the North West (1.0 to 1.2).

The daily growth rate of infections in England was estimated at between 2% and 5%, down on the previous week when it was between 4% and 6%.

Live COVID-19 updates from the UK and around the world

The figures, now produced by United Kingdom Health Security Agency, are updated every Friday.

An R value – or reproduction number – between 1.1 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected with COVID-19 will go on infect between 11 and 14 other people.

More on Covid-19

Anything above 1 means the coronavirus outbreak is growing exponentially – but below 1 means the case rate is shrinking.

These estimates represent the transmission of COVID two to three weeks ago, due to the delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

This week’s regional breakdown for the R number (on the left) and infection growth rate (on the right) is as follows:

  • East of England 1.3 to 1.5 // 4% to 7%
  • London 1.2 to 1.5 // 4% to 6%
  • Midlands 1.1 to 1.4 // 2% to 6%
  • North East and Yorkshire 1.1 to 1.3 // 1% to 5%
  • North West 1.0 to 1.2 // 0% to 3%
  • South East 1.2 to 1.5 // 4% to 7%
  • South West 1.2 to 1.5 // 3% to 6%

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